A | TAIPEI, Taiwan -- Russian President Vladimir Putin arrived in Beijing on Tuesday for a visit that underscores China’s support for Moscow during its war in Ukraine as well as Russian backing for China's bid to expand its economic and diplomatic influence abroad.The two countries have forged an informal alliance against the United States and other democratic nations that is now complicated by the Israel-Hamas war. China has sought to balance its ties with Israel against its relations with Iran and Syria, two countries that are strongly backed by Russia and with which China has forged ties for economic reasons as well as to challenge Washington's influence in the Middle East.Putin's plane was met by an honor guard as the Russian leader began his visit that is also a show of support for Chinese leader Xi Jinping’s signature “Belt and Road” initiative to build infrastructure and expand China’s overseas influence.In an interview to Chinese state media, Putin praised the massive but loosely linked BRI projects.“Yes, we see that some people consider it an attempt by the People’s Republic of China to put someone under its thumb, but we see otherwise, we just see desire for cooperation,” he told state broadcaster CCTV, according to a transcript released by the Kremlin on Monday. Putin will be among the highest profile guests at a gathering marking the 10th anniversary of Xi’s announcement of the BRI project, which has laden countries such as Zambia and Sri Lanka with heavy debt from contracts with Chinese companies to build roads, airports and other public works they could not otherwise afford. U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres has praised the Chinese policy as bringing development to neglected areas. Asked by reporters Friday about his visit, Putin said it would encompass talks on Belt and Road-related projects, which he said Moscow wants to link with efforts by an economic alliance of former Soviet Union nations mostly located in Central Asia to “achieve common development goals.” He also downplayed the impact of China’s economic influence in a region that Russia has long considered its backyard and where it has worked to maintain political and military clout. “We don’t have any contradictions here, on the contrary, there is a certain synergy,” Putin said.Putin said he and Xi would also discuss growing economic ties between Moscow and Beijing in energy, high-tech and financial industries. China has also grown in importance as an export destination for Russia.Alexander Gabuev, director of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, said that from China’s view, “Russia is a safe neighbor that is friendly, that is a source of cheap raw materials, that’s a support for Chinese initiatives on the global stage and that’s also a source of military technologies, some of those that China doesn’t have.”“For Russia, China is its lifeline, economic lifeline in its brutal repression against Ukraine,” Gabuev told The Associated Press. “It’s the major market for Russian commodities, it’s a country that provides its currency and payment system to settle Russia’s trade with the outside world — with China itself, but also with many other countries, and is also the major source of sophisticated technological imports, including dual-use goods that go into the Russian military machine.”Gabuev said that while Moscow and Beijing will be unlikely to forge a full-fledged military alliance, their defense cooperation will grow.“Both countries are self-sufficient in terms of security and they benefit from partnering, but neither really requires a security guarantee from the other. And they preach strategic autonomy,” he said.“There will be no military alliance, but there will be closer military cooperation, more interoperability, more cooperation on projecting force together, including in places like the Arctic and more joint effort to develop a missile defense that makes the U.S. nuclear planning and planning of the U.S. and its allies in Asia and in Europe more complicated,” he added. The Chinese and Soviets were Cold War rivals for influence among left-leaning states, but China and Russia have since partnered in the economic, military and diplomatic spheres. Just weeks before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine last February, Putin met with Xi in Beijing and the sides signed an agreement pledging a “no-limits” relationship. Beijing’s attempts to present itself as a neutral peace broker in Russia’s war on Ukraine have been widely dismissed by the international community. Xi visited Moscow in March as part of a flurry of exchanges between the countries. China has condemned international sanctions imposed on Russia, but hasn’t directly addressed an arrest warrant issued for Putin by the International Criminal Court on charges of alleged involvement in the abductions of thousands of children from Ukraine. ___Associated Press writer Jim Heintz in Tallinn, Estonia, contributed to this report.。 随着美国中期选举的脚步日益临近，华盛顿的焦虑感也在不断加剧。在最近的一次讲话中，美国财政部长贝森特高调宣称，美伊冲突已进入“终局”，并对伊朗实施了“史无前例的经济制裁”。 他声称，美国已经摧毁了伊朗几乎所有的军工能力，并誓言继续“切断伊朗每一条经济命脉”，力求将伊朗孤立无援。这一系列强硬表态固然振奋了许多美国保守派人士，但实际上，这种自我陶醉的胜利感却掩盖了更为复杂的国际局势。 面对疯狂的制裁，伊朗的反应显得不那么被动。就在美国准备加大施压力度时，伊朗却传来几个喜讯，似乎给美国的制裁政策泼了一盆冷水。首先，伊朗在法尔斯省发现了一个大型油气田，天然气可采储量达到1614亿立方米。这一发现不仅为伊朗带来了巨大经济利益，而且其开采成本低，意味着即使在严厉的制裁下，伊朗也依然可以从丰富的能源资源中获得生存和发展所需的资金。
B | 更重要的是，伊朗早已开始采取措施绕过美国的制裁，从而打开了新的贸易渠道。这种情况下，美国想要通过制裁迫使伊朗妥协，其实更像是一场持久战，短时间内未必能见到成效。 地缘政治层面，伊朗也展现出其灵活的外交策略。
C | 日前，沙特、土耳其和巴基斯坦签署了《麦加共同防务协议》，有可能为伊朗提供新的合作机会。伊朗外交部回应称，虽然尚未收到正式邀请，但已经就地区安全问题与相关国家进行了一系列讨论。这一动态表明，如果美国持续施压，伊朗不仅有能力维持自身的自主性，还有可能借机融入更广泛的地区合作网络。 多国政要接连访问伊朗，显示出对话的空间依然存在。巴基斯坦和阿曼的高层访伊，表明这些国家意图在美伊之间充当中间调停者，帮助两国找到和平解决方案。俄罗斯外交部副部长甚至表示，若两国请求，俄方乐于提供支持。这种国际背景下，伊朗的主动权似乎正在增强。 尽管白宫似乎对当前的局势掌控良好，但从整体来看，美国试图孤立伊朗的计划面临重大挑战。一方面，伊朗的资源基础和经济潜力仍然坚实，另一方面，国际社会对美方单边制裁的质疑声也在不断上升。
D | 在全球化的今天，各国的相互依存度加深，单靠一己之力阻止他国的发展是越来越困难的。美国政府的“极限施压”战略看似威力十足，实则可能造成更多的反噬效应，让世界对美国的领导力产生怀疑。 从某种意义上说，特朗普政府的外交策略过于依赖“强硬”手段，而忽视了国际合作和利益的多样性。在这个多变的国际环境中，习惯于打压对手的冷战思维正遭遇碰撞，全球新秩序的形成需要更多的智慧和耐心。 美伊关系的未来将取决于双方如何处理当前的紧张局势。随着复杂局面的演变，很明显，恢复对话与谈判是解决问题的最佳途径。无论是出于维护地区稳定，还是为了各国的长远利益，双方都有必要在理性与合作的框架内寻找共赢的解决方案。 随着局势的发展，所有参与者都必需保持清醒的头脑，避免因偏执的立场而导致误判。这不仅关乎美伊的未来，也将深刻影响整个中东区域乃至国际社会。因此，各方都应以开放的态度面对未来，或许在彼此的交流与碰撞中，能够找到最值得期待的和平契机。返回，查看更多。
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